How Japan's Economy Turned From Ahh-so to So-so

Amid all the media hand wringing and uproar over laxcountry's borders, but stretched around the globe. The
control over the financial industry, it's easy to forgetJapanese snapped up international hotels, including a
that this is not the first time a "perfect storm" ofmajority of Hawaiian properties, U.S. mainland banks,
events brought a nation's economy to the edge of theski resorts and golf courses, including Pebble Beach.
abyss. We need only look back to the '90s to examineSony cherry-picked its way through Hollywood and
what happened in Japan. It can put current events intook over both Universal Studios and Columbia
perspective - and show that, yes, countries and theirPictures. Then, in 1989, Mitsubishi purchased a majority
economies do bounce back.stake in Manhattan's crown jewel, Rockefeller Center.
Throughout the '80s, inflation in Japan was virtuallyReading that last bit of news in the New York Times
nonexistent, even as real estate prices were soaringwas a jolt to most Americans, and prompted David
out of control. But during the decade of the '90s, theLetterman to make light of it. He joked that Ronald
world witnessed the bursting ofyet another bubble -Reagan was in Japan peddling skyscrapers.
and by bubble we mean the empty, inflated, fragileIn his book on Japanese economics, author Osamu
object that was the Japanese economy just before itMurayama describes the way an overheated stock
collapsed.market, skyrocketing land prices, and banks eager to
Many extenuating circumstances played a role inprovide large-scale loans to risky businesses led to
Japan's unraveling. There were trade tensions with thereckless lending and questionable investment practices.
United States because of an imbalance and a hugeMany banks got into such serious trouble that it wasn't
surplus, and weakness within Japan's own politicaluncommon for the entire senior management to be
power structure, particularly at the Ministry of Financeinvolved in deceiving MOF inspectors by manipulating
(MOF). Officials there came under fire and facedthe books and hiding damaging information.
investigation for corruption and lax supervision of theThe free ride would soon end
Japanese banking industry.Japanese banks had put themselves in a precarious
In a hauntingly familiar scenario for anyone followingposition. With little or no actual capital, they were
today's news, Japan's real estate market, banks andheavily invested in the stock market. In 1990, when real
stock market were equal partners in Japan's economicestate prices were already beyond sustainability, banks
downfall. Rising property values, coupled with theheld about 22 percent of Japan's mortgages. By 1992,
banking industry's easy flow of credit, became theit became clear that the free ride wealthy land
driving forces behind escalating stock prices. Therespeculators and insider traders had enjoyed during the
was virtually no regulatory oversight as the greedy'80s was going to end with serious consequences.
and unwary got swept up into a dangerous, quicklyAfter rising dramatically, the Nikkei stock price average
revolving spiral.fell from 38,915 in December 1989 to 14,309 in August
Landowners bought stocks on margin1992, a decline of 63 percent.
Thanks to the undisputed success of JapaneseThe party was over.
manufacturing, particularly in the electronics andIt wasn't until the bubble economy collapsed, the
automobile industries, Japan's banks had attainedbottom fell out of real estate, and the stock market
enormous wealth, and therefore, credit was readilytumbled that the full extent of the banks' bad loans
available. Landowners began borrowing to buy stockswas finally revealed to the public. Banks were left with
on margin using their property as collateral. Theymassive bad debt, and with no easy capital to borrow,
immediately used their stock as collateral to buy stillthey were forced to liquidate many of their overseas
more real estate ... in a vicious cycle that looped backholdings, often at a loss.
on itself and kept spinning.In September 1995, the New York Times published a
Critics later argued that the fault lay with Japan'sfollow-up to its original story and summed up the tale
unique government-industry collaboration - itof Japan's bursting bubble. "Japanese Scrap $2 Billion
encouraged banks to look to the MOF for guidance.Stake in Rockefeller," the headlinedeclared. The article
Because of this reliance, bank officials weren't requiredreported that "Mitsubishi's sudden decision to exit
to have the expertise necessary to foresee or copeRockefeller Center is the most striking in a string of
with financial difficulties, much less to make decisionsrecent retreats from the trophy properties stretching
on their own behalf.from New York to Honolulu that Japanese companies
Meanwhile, banks continued to lend at bargain interestacquired during a real estate binge in the 1980s."
rates as low as 2 percent, despite the fact thatIn the final analysis, all those individuals who had put
aggregate property value in Japan was approachingtheir money into Japanese real estate or stocks - like
levels four to five times higher than the aggregateso many others who prided themselves on being
property values in the United States.smart and opportunistic investors- learned too late that
A global land-graball they had really done was gambled and lost.
The Japanese land grab was not confined to the